3. How much would the City save if single payer healthcare plan is
implemented in California?
The two proposed bills (SB 810 & SB 840) would likely have no impact on City
employees, given the City’s existing coverage. The League of California Cities
commented that for any universal health care effort, most cities would probably
meet or exceed the minimum level of benefits that would presumably be
defined in such a bill, which appears to be the case in Santa Monica. Over the
past two years, three major policy efforts have been undertaken to reform the
health care system, but none have resulted in substantive legislation.
SB 840, a bill sponsored by Senator Kuehl, was vetoed in September 2008.
This bill would have provided a single payer plan, established new taxes, and
divert current funding for health care from federal, state, and local
governments. A report by the California Legislative Analyst Office, dated May
22, 2008, indicated that the cost of this coverage would have been
approximately $210 billion in FY2011-12, leading to a deficit of $42.4 billion in
the plan in the first full year of operations. Proposed revenue sources for the
plan included employer wage taxes of 8 percent and employee wage taxes of 4
percent on employees earning between $7,000 and $200,000.
To estimate the financial implication of this proposed bill on the City of Santa
Monica, we will assume FY 2008-09 budgeted citywide salaries of $150.8
million. The LAO estimates that program costs, including the deficit, would be
covered if payroll tax rates were 16 percent and other tax rates, such as capital
gains, were increased to 15.5 percent. If the City were to pay the entire 16
percent of health care costs under the single payer plan, it would incur $21.8
million in annual expenditures. Projected medical costs for FY 2008-09 for the
same salary level were $27.8 million, which indicates an estimated savings of
$6.0 million over current medical, dental, and vision costs. These estimates
are based solely on information provided by the LAO in the aforementioned
letter and do not consider the financial impact of non-wage taxes levied to
provide additional revenue for the proposed single payer plan.